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WorldTaiwanForeign PolicyChinaGeopoliticsHFC截止 2026年12月31日

中国与台湾在2027年前发生军事冲突?

原文:China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
11.0%chance2%
Yes
11.0%+2.50pp
24h 成交量
$2,699
总成交量 · Vol
$1,865,740
流动性
$33,489
市场描述
EN · 原文
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Taiwan (Republic of China) between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Taiwanese military forc
(长描述已截断,完整描述见原页面)
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