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transitIranOilEconomyGeopoliticsU.S. x Iran截止 2026年6月15日

霍尔木兹海峡交通 6 月 15 日前恢复正常?

原文:Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
0.9%chance16%
Yes
0.9%-15.55pp
24h 成交量
$257,584
总成交量 · Vol
$5,146,537
流动性
$451,869
市场描述
EN · 原文
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day
(长描述已截断,完整描述见原页面)
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