Pulse · 脉冲
AI 工具 × 实时数据
登录 / 注册
← 全部预测市场
Macro GeopoliticsHormuzOilU.S. x IranshipsStrait of Hormuz截止 2026年6月30日

霍尔木兹海峡航运在6月底前恢复正常?

原文:Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
29.5%chance38%
Yes
29.5%-38.00pp
24h 成交量
$532,111
总成交量 · Vol
$15,993,289
流动性
$487,492
市场描述
EN · 原文
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day
(长描述已截断,完整描述见原页面)
← 返回市场列表查看原始数据来源(Polymarket) ↗

相关市场

PoliticsGeopolitics

美国宣布新的伊朗协议/停火延长至...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
领先 / 17 个子市场
美国宣布新的伊朗协议/停火延长至6月30日前?
44%-1.0pp
24h: $1.3M总: $32.0M
PoliticsGeopolitics
5/31

伊朗关闭领空截止...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?
24h: $1.1M总: $67.7M
CommoditiesHide From New
7/1

6月底前原油(CL)会触及___?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
领先 / 33 个子市场
原油(CL)到6月底会触及(高点)200美元吗?
1%
24h: $501K总: $24.8M
Strait of HormuzGeopolitics
6/30

特朗普宣布美国解除霍尔木兹封锁截止...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
领先 / 17 个子市场
唐纳德·特朗普是否会在2026年6月30日前宣布美国解除对霍尔木兹海峡的封锁?
39%+1.5pp
24h: $473K总: $30.4M
transitIran
6/15

霍尔木兹海峡交通 6 月 15 日前恢复正常?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Yes
1%
24h: $258K总: $5.1M
TrumpIran
12/31

美国通过……获得伊朗浓缩铀?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
领先 / 5 个子市场
美国在6月30日前获得伊朗浓缩铀?
3%
24h: $237K总: $25.9M
⚠️ 数据说明