2026 年将发生多少次 7.0 级及以上地震?
原文:How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
2026年全球7.0级及以上地震是否会在11到13次之间?
33.5%chance▲8%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source,
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⚠️ 数据说明
- • 概率反映市场参与者的群体判断,不是事件真实概率
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